Icon73 Posted April 20, 2016 Report Share Posted April 20, 2016 at 5 to 1 odds. all you need to put up is 200k to win 1 million. who is going to accept? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjornmma1 Posted April 20, 2016 Report Share Posted April 20, 2016 So if I bet for 200k and OSP wins, I get 1 million, but if Jones wins, I only lose the 200k right? IF so , I'm up for it . OSP is unpredicatable and can cause a gigantic upset, alltough the chances are slim obviously. But do not underestimate OSP anyway, he is one hell of an athlete, with unorthodox skills that are hard to deal with in a strange way. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
igorbyhenikov Posted April 20, 2016 Report Share Posted April 20, 2016 in Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjornmma1 Posted April 21, 2016 Report Share Posted April 21, 2016 Icon 73 ? Is it correct what I said or not? If so, bet is on! 3 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Victorio Posted April 23, 2016 Report Share Posted April 23, 2016 Bjorn you are risking with your money big time! Good luck to you though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjornmma1 Posted April 23, 2016 Report Share Posted April 23, 2016 Bjorn you are risking with your money big time! Good luck to you though. Let me explain you my way of thinking 1) 200k can turn into 1 million for me 2) worst case , I lose 200k 3) anyone can be beaten, including the guy I think is probably the greatest of all time. 4) OSP has good reach and packs a big punch. He can KO while he is walking back . 5) OSP is a great athlete, but unorthodox with his striking. That means he throws stuff at angles people don't expect, so dangerous guy. 6) He has a great knowledge of submissions it seems. If Jones takes him down ( very likely to happen), he isn't out of the fight just yet . So lets see 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Victorio Posted April 23, 2016 Report Share Posted April 23, 2016 Not going to doubt you Bjorn, I can see your point I am just saying. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjornmma1 Posted April 23, 2016 Report Share Posted April 23, 2016 Not going to doubt you Bjorn, I can see your point I am just saying. I know I'm curious how it will go. I actually hope that Jones wins in dominant fashion, beats DC next and then goes to HW 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Victorio Posted April 23, 2016 Report Share Posted April 23, 2016 I am really curious of OSP's gameplan. How will his awkward style works against somebody like Jones intrigues me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Icon73 Posted April 24, 2016 Author Report Share Posted April 24, 2016 And that 200k in my pocket 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjornmma1 Posted April 24, 2016 Report Share Posted April 24, 2016 And that 200k in my pocket I'll send it over right now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlakePhoenix Posted April 24, 2016 Report Share Posted April 24, 2016 I know I'm curious how it will go. I actually hope that Jones wins in dominant fashion, beats DC next and then goes to HW I agree with this. I think Jones vs Werdum would be SPECTACULAR! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TAYNE Posted April 25, 2016 Report Share Posted April 25, 2016 Lesson: Don't let odds sway you into betting on underdogs. Only bet on the fighter you think will win. Underdog bets are good when they shouldn't be underdogs. See: Rose namajunas VS Paige VanZant http://rlv.zcache.com/captain_hindsight_tee_shirt-raa6f660188ff47959ba67290bc414658_jgn5i_1024.jpg?rlvnet=1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pjrfin Posted April 26, 2016 Report Share Posted April 26, 2016 Lesson: Don't let odds sway you into betting on underdogs. Only bet on the fighter you think will win. This is good advice for casual gamblers, who aren't actually trying to make a profit, but make bets to have fun. I used to be a casual sports bet gambler. I was trying to pick winners. When I finally realized that the only way to make a long term profit is to do exactly what you say not to do, I pretty much quit betting on sports. When you know that you need to remove all emotion from the bet, and even put you entire bankroll on the line for your favorite team to lose if the price is good enough, it effectively sucks the fun out of it. At least for me it did. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TAYNE Posted April 26, 2016 Report Share Posted April 26, 2016 This is good advice for casual gamblers, who aren't actually trying to make a profit, but make bets to have fun. I used to be a casual sports bet gambler. I was trying to pick winners. When I finally realized that the only way to make a long term profit is to do exactly what you say not to do, I pretty much quit betting on sports. When you know that you need to remove all emotion from the bet, and even put you entire bankroll on the line for your favorite team to lose if the price is good enough, it effectively sucks the fun out of it. At least for me it did. Lucca Fury seems to make money by finding underdogs who are wrongly underrated. You need to exploit the public's ignorance (which is in abundant supply in MMA) - everyone bets on a guy like brock lesnar, sage northcutt, etc. because they're popular and you bet on their opponents when they run into someone they can't handle. Of course that's the easy way. Lucca also does all this crazy shit with parlays and prop bets that are a bit beyond me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pjrfin Posted April 27, 2016 Report Share Posted April 27, 2016 Lucca Fury seems to make money by finding underdogs who are wrongly underrated. That's what I said. Play the odds. Finding an underrated underdog is a bit easier than finding an underrated favorite. Especially when betting against other people (as in not against "the house"). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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